Demystifying Data-Driven Probabilistic Medium-Range Weather Forecasting
Proposes ATLAS, a latent-space transformer framework combining diffusion, stochastic interpolants, and CRPS for state-of-the-art probabilistic medium-range weather forecasting, outperforming ECMWF IFS.
Jean Kossaifi, Nikola Kovachki, Morteza Mardani et al.